Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 106.449273 117.849269 129.448499 142.104130 155.494354 169.212240 184.299933
2024-12-15 88.191602 104.745815 122.281090 142.120284 163.827132 186.748140 212.673824
2024-12-22 76.035777 95.341048 116.420347 140.903332 168.324674 197.876058 231.918863
2024-12-29 68.538905 90.045788 114.138357 142.728063 175.349665 211.065686 252.786257
2025-01-05 62.828638 86.112827 112.799478 145.062900 182.461242 223.949235 272.966450
2025-01-12 56.087016 80.341992 108.801068 143.854169 185.118017 231.476880 286.842254
2025-01-19 49.351151 74.027484 103.686752 140.905093 185.384906 235.968921 297.001152
2025-01-26 47.055874 73.037718 104.820321 145.237181 194.054125 250.039631 318.062531
2025-02-02 44.442910 71.417865 105.002601 148.273814 201.078124 262.126920 336.795361
2025-02-09 40.168813 67.316946 101.836021 146.996312 202.760960 267.825762 348.002236
2025-02-16 36.315062 63.505889 98.813385 145.700091 204.257448 273.177031 358.700723
2025-02-23 33.787864 61.340537 97.775194 146.775870 208.556947 281.794928 373.200650
2025-03-02 31.161052 58.899316 96.295243 147.256847 212.139452 289.617542 386.876317
2025-03-09 28.954933 56.917820 95.321322 148.309119 216.383494 298.219178 401.490683
2025-03-16 26.094887 53.756577 92.583261 146.926187 217.461673 302.896913 411.346356
2025-03-23 24.558965 52.497320 92.381615 148.815852 222.632911 312.545451 427.175035
2025-03-30 23.300865 51.580042 92.593714 151.209055 228.417995 322.938205 443.911908
2025-04-06 21.041767 48.896238 90.176214 149.969282 229.464548 327.432047 453.456745
2025-04-13 18.469898 45.484023 86.545410 146.943287 228.088748 328.834104 459.164198
2025-04-20 18.115579 45.801092 88.361580 151.388106 236.450964 342.397343 479.786380
2025-04-27 17.435463 45.500581 89.229747 154.502984 243.067081 353.783938 497.760263
2025-05-04 15.695518 43.185971 86.979311 153.192640 243.798594 357.736841 506.556648
2025-05-11 14.090423 40.971453 84.775913 151.862984 244.438716 361.527576 515.120294